The Republican Party sees a truly historic opportunity in 2022


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With less than a year to go before the 2022 midterm elections, the Republican Party is looking ahead to an opportunity of truly historic proportions. Even before the shocking results of the gubernatorial races last month, things were going well, all signs were “yes” to the resumption of Congress. But the victory in Virginia and the narrow loss in the deep blue of New Jersey changed the map. What had seemed like solid gains, could now turn out to be completely transformational.

In the wake of the 2020 election, conventional wisdom was that some sort of exchange had taken place. Democrats had consolidated their gains among white suburban voters, but Republicans had made deep inroads into a more diverse working-class demographic.

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It was a deal that appealed to most Conservatives, but not all, a coalition with greater growth potential. But after this year’s election, Republicans must be asking, “Can we have both? And it seems that the answer is yes.

The current facts on the ground are intimidating for Democrats. Joe Biden is about as unpopular as a Democratic president can be, the generic Congressional poll pushes the GOP up almost unprecedented ten points, and aside from James Carville and a few others, the left doesn’t seem to understand that ‘she even has a problem.

This is an opportunity for Republicans to accomplish something they haven’t had for at least a century: lasting institutional political power. The GOP has long been the “opposition party” in American life. Even the crushing victories of Nixon in 1972 and Reagan in 1980 left the Democrats at the head of the House of Representatives.

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Under President George W. Bush, Republicans controlled both houses of Congress for most of its first 6 years, but it was tight. Like Biden, the 43rd President entered the Oval Office with an equally divided Senate. In 2006, the Democrats would regain control of Capitol Hill.

The Republicans’ luck in power today is on a whole different order of magnitude. Voters reject Democrats’ ideas on education, the economy, the border, crime, etc. Even on COVID, Biden has crashed in the polls, and while some Democrats seem keen to reduce COVID restrictions, their base, which they’ve terrified for two years, doesn’t really seem ready for it.

The trick for Republicans will be to politically isolate Democrats as a niche far-left party. Surprisingly, this is a project that many Democrats, including Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris, seem to be embracing. But, of course, none of this is a done deal.

For the GOP to achieve a historic victory, it must do two things. First, be a large group of tents that shun purity testing, and second, focus like a laser on the groping failures of the Democratic majority.

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When it comes to building a large electoral network, Republicans need to draw a line between figures like Rep. Liz Cheney, R-Wy., Who have completely disqualified themselves, and those like the former governor of New Jersey. Chris Christie, currently in a media blitz, who still have a role to play.

Cheney made it his mission to undermine Republicans’ efforts to regain power unless he totally rejects Donald Trump. Christie, the first major Republican to back Trump in 2016, is focused on winning, even though some of the former president’s allies see him as disloyal.

When it comes to attacking the current Democrats’ record, the GOP should be in violation everywhere. Fight them in the suburbs, fight them in factories, fight them in school boards, gas stations and grocery stores.

And one last thing. To truly emerge from the shadow of permanent opposition to the sun of national political domination, Republicans must act as if they belong to it.

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It is not enough to portray America as a victim of progressive democratic abuses, there must be a positive vision of something better.

If that happens, US policy could change next year in ways that will last for a generation.

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